philipp:
The longer something has taken, the longer it will
take. This
effect has a significant impact on any estimate on when an overdue project will
finally be done - intuition and hope says it will be done soon, the math and
experience says it won't.
Related to that is the Lindy
Effect: The longer
a technology has been around, the longer it is likely to stay around. This has
implications on, among other things, architecture.
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